InTheMoment
04-30 11:13 PM
That's interesting...from my visits to various threads and from wait times of my friends (3 to precise) who recently got naturalized, the average time after receipt of N-400 to taking oath is around only 4 to 5 months.
Thanks. I have seen this document before, and if we are both looking at the same place (top of page 10), this is an average estimate that sweeps lot of detail under the carpet. USCIS's yearly updates (http://www.uscis.gov/files/article/Local%20Processing%20Times_FINAL_11Aug08.pdf) reveal more. As I said earlier, depending on where you live, your processing time can be anywhere between 5 and 15 months. From my visits to several naturalization-related threads, I have rarely seen anybody who became citizen under at least 1 year, going as far back as 2002. You are right, we won't expect another rush now as it was in year 2007 (compare the "Total" number naturalized in 2008 with that in 2007, Table 2, page 3, here (http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/statistics/publications/natz_fr_2008.pdf)). But then, who knows what can happen after 5 years.
Thanks. I have seen this document before, and if we are both looking at the same place (top of page 10), this is an average estimate that sweeps lot of detail under the carpet. USCIS's yearly updates (http://www.uscis.gov/files/article/Local%20Processing%20Times_FINAL_11Aug08.pdf) reveal more. As I said earlier, depending on where you live, your processing time can be anywhere between 5 and 15 months. From my visits to several naturalization-related threads, I have rarely seen anybody who became citizen under at least 1 year, going as far back as 2002. You are right, we won't expect another rush now as it was in year 2007 (compare the "Total" number naturalized in 2008 with that in 2007, Table 2, page 3, here (http://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/statistics/publications/natz_fr_2008.pdf)). But then, who knows what can happen after 5 years.
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bobbydalal
05-26 12:52 PM
Hey stop being negative. All we can do is hope n god willing we will get it. I have been waiting to get my green since last 12 years ok. Butr im still optimistic. Also lets fax the congress n whitehouse for the same. Ifu guys see numberusa site the anit immigrant pepole r pilling up the faxes against it so lets all unite n send the faxes in support of it. Also with the blue visas in Europen country will make a big difference for us. So they r quiet aware. Lets not fight and give reds to each other instead concentrate on faxing the faxes to white house in support of this bill as irt does matter all of us. United we stand and i bet u there r enough pepole like me n u waiting for the green.
trueguy
08-27 12:22 PM
Did anybody get any reply from letter campaign? Why is it so difficult for USCIS to release number of pending application per category per year?
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h1techSlave
03-10 06:50 PM
I feel the same. I do not remember reading anywhere that 600K EB 485s are pending.
The 600K+ number must include EB+FB
The 600K+ number must include EB+FB
more...
vallabhu
07-20 09:31 AM
Link does not work
jamesbond007
09-17 01:39 PM
If today its approved in the house..we are done..it goes the Prez for signing and we all add another card to our wallets:o
http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showthread.php?t=21442
The above thread helps understand the legislation process.
HR5882 is currently going thru step B.
A little ways to go after that step, before it becomes law.
http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showthread.php?t=21442
The above thread helps understand the legislation process.
HR5882 is currently going thru step B.
A little ways to go after that step, before it becomes law.
more...
obviously
06-23 12:45 PM
Can we each leave a 'personalized note' on how much we have contributed in Federal / State / Social Security taxes + Medicare / etc.???? Even a rough order estimate... to get them to listen to us seriously.
Is this something that IV can help co-ordinate?
1. State-wise, collect estimates of taxes paid till date
2. Collect the data (anonymously, of course) and send a written brief to each Senator in that state - making a clear economic case to how we contribute
3. Collect the data (nationally, with statistical analysis thrown in) and send a written brief to all Senators - making a case at a national level.
We need eye-popping numbers, charts and quotes ... to continue the PR around high skilled immigrant needs.
Thoughts?
Is this something that IV can help co-ordinate?
1. State-wise, collect estimates of taxes paid till date
2. Collect the data (anonymously, of course) and send a written brief to each Senator in that state - making a clear economic case to how we contribute
3. Collect the data (nationally, with statistical analysis thrown in) and send a written brief to all Senators - making a case at a national level.
We need eye-popping numbers, charts and quotes ... to continue the PR around high skilled immigrant needs.
Thoughts?
2010 30-Seconds-To-Mars-33-1
go_gc_way
11-13 10:36 PM
Hello anurakt,
Thank for contributing again to IV. You and other members like yourself would be the reason for IVs success in changing the flawed green card system.
Thank you for encouraging other IV members for contributing. As you know, this is very important and more amongst us should encourage our fellow IV members to contribute. Often times it is evident that few IV members are struggling to keep a positive tone on the forums. As you may have experienced, it is easy to post few messages here and there. The message of some of these posts is to throw out ideas for others to implement. But in the end, the success of our community will depend on the contribution from kind members like you. Thank You.
Regards,
WaldenPond
Waldenpond, here is my $100 contribution. This is in addition to my previous several contributions and I am glad to contribute again.
Thank you and IV core team for your continued dedicated efforts and leadership. I wish all of us success at the end.
FRIENDS ON THE FORUM : Please give it a THOUGHT and CONTRIBUTE .. Your contribution as mentioned by waldenpond can make a DIFFERENCE at the end.
Thank for contributing again to IV. You and other members like yourself would be the reason for IVs success in changing the flawed green card system.
Thank you for encouraging other IV members for contributing. As you know, this is very important and more amongst us should encourage our fellow IV members to contribute. Often times it is evident that few IV members are struggling to keep a positive tone on the forums. As you may have experienced, it is easy to post few messages here and there. The message of some of these posts is to throw out ideas for others to implement. But in the end, the success of our community will depend on the contribution from kind members like you. Thank You.
Regards,
WaldenPond
Waldenpond, here is my $100 contribution. This is in addition to my previous several contributions and I am glad to contribute again.
Thank you and IV core team for your continued dedicated efforts and leadership. I wish all of us success at the end.
FRIENDS ON THE FORUM : Please give it a THOUGHT and CONTRIBUTE .. Your contribution as mentioned by waldenpond can make a DIFFERENCE at the end.
more...
BharatPremi
12-11 11:17 AM
http://immigrationvoice.org/forum/showthread.php?t=16031
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TeddyKoochu
04-19 09:42 AM
jimytomy many congratulations on your well deserved GC.
more...
wandmaker
12-01 08:53 PM
how about being a monthly charge of some amount to be members who can post/respond. Others can read but not post. This way you will know exactly how many paid members you have and amount you can expect monthly
how about breaking this into multiple levels.
(1) account maintenance fee: charge $1/month for maintaining the account, members who paid this fee will have read access to all threads except IV core updates. IV can generate $25K a month with this option, this can cover day to day expenses.
(2) usage fee: charge $??/month for using the IV forums, members who paid this free can post and respond and read IV updates.
how about breaking this into multiple levels.
(1) account maintenance fee: charge $1/month for maintaining the account, members who paid this fee will have read access to all threads except IV core updates. IV can generate $25K a month with this option, this can cover day to day expenses.
(2) usage fee: charge $??/month for using the IV forums, members who paid this free can post and respond and read IV updates.
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DesiGuy
09-17 12:11 PM
doesnt look good for 6020 - most abstained or voting no..
more...
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immi_enthu
10-07 08:56 PM
If an aparment costs 70 lakhs and that is renting for 15 thousand, how does it make sense to invest in it? The return on 70 lakhs at 12%(or 10%) is 7 lakhs/year. That is approx. 60 thousand per month. If you buy an apartment and rent it, it gives you 15 thousand. Don't you see the problem? The return on investment is low, very low. The fact that it is renting only for 15 thousand tells us that it is not affordable for most of the average guys in the city. The theory that there are more demand to snap up 70 lakh, 1 crore apartments is simply not true.
I had the same question. Can anyone please explain inspite of the above problem, how are the prices for apartments in Hyderabad are so high ?
The only thing I can think of is that everybody is buying for themselves not as an investment.
I had the same question. Can anyone please explain inspite of the above problem, how are the prices for apartments in Hyderabad are so high ?
The only thing I can think of is that everybody is buying for themselves not as an investment.
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sundewei
12-03 04:54 PM
:( The wait for Name Check is killing me
more...
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amulchandra
04-01 09:10 PM
Hi when485,
Our PDs are close.Mine is jul-06 eb3/I. My family's all 485s had a soft LUD on 03/31/2009 and today 04/01/2009. I am thinking it could be because of 2nd finger print notices for our family.
Our PDs are close.Mine is jul-06 eb3/I. My family's all 485s had a soft LUD on 03/31/2009 and today 04/01/2009. I am thinking it could be because of 2nd finger print notices for our family.
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ashkam
07-11 11:28 AM
Where did you get the information that it would take a year and half. Is it just a guess!!!
Being largely ignorant of law, I wouldn't guess. Comment 34 on this thread and elsewhere on other threads.
Being largely ignorant of law, I wouldn't guess. Comment 34 on this thread and elsewhere on other threads.
more...
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thakurrajiv
07-30 10:34 AM
Dont even think about it unless you are a quant and have resources that can compete with the Hedge funds. Commodities do not behave like stocks, you need to be able to model prices using multi variate models. Then there is jumps. You should be familiar with jump diffusion/step functions etc. To be able to model these you will need to use a factor model like the Pilipovic model. Even then it will only be an approximation.
Commodities are purchased as futures. Futures are derivatives and you will need to hedge them. A perfect hedge for a future is 1:1 in the spot. Since there is no arb here you will have to use options. To model the price of an option you will have to be a master of Black-Scholes option pricing model or a similar method like monte carlo simulation. Even if you figure all this out you will have to delta hedge. Delta hedging commodity options is very expensive, you will bleed money. Look up Hodges-Nuberger model for delta hedging options on derivatives.
I suggest a book by Daragana Pilipovic called "Energy Risk", buy it and read it. After that if you still feel you can take on hundreds of computers running parallel with teams of quants modelling prices and programs trading algarithimic models; then Good luck!!
Trade stocks as modelling stocks is comparitively easy. Stocks have drift (mu). If you are saturated with stocks look into options and Fixed income. Leave all these complicated stuff to the pros. You have better chance of hitting a jackpot in a casino than making money in trading commodities.
Wow, smisachu summarized the issue in 2 paragraphs !! Great post smisachu.
As smisachu pointed out for futures, forwards or options trading you will be going against the pros. Hedging is also not a static process, it is dynamic which means you need scale(lots of money) to trade. Unless you have lot of money and big heart for loss, it does not make sense to play in those markets. If you really want to try, try playing with options using optionsExpress or some other cheap trading website.
Now fundamental investing is different. Instead of directly playing with commodities you can play commodity stocks which are proxy for the commodity. The issue here is there are a few big players and bunch of small players. Small plays are too risky as most of them have resources outside US. You might be able to play big ones or medium sized ones. Have a look at companies like COP, EAC etc. You might be interested in looking at Canadian oil sands and trust plays.
Let me warn you about the volatility. As covered by smisachu, the pros can manipulate the prices in futures. Futures seem to be affecting spot a lot. Oil prices or any commodity can be very volatilile. So if you can't take 10% swings in days/hours, don't even think about commodity stocks !!
Personally I am long bull of oil and will stay like this in forseable future. I have interesting stories on my boom and bust experiences but that is a good beer talk :).
Commodities are purchased as futures. Futures are derivatives and you will need to hedge them. A perfect hedge for a future is 1:1 in the spot. Since there is no arb here you will have to use options. To model the price of an option you will have to be a master of Black-Scholes option pricing model or a similar method like monte carlo simulation. Even if you figure all this out you will have to delta hedge. Delta hedging commodity options is very expensive, you will bleed money. Look up Hodges-Nuberger model for delta hedging options on derivatives.
I suggest a book by Daragana Pilipovic called "Energy Risk", buy it and read it. After that if you still feel you can take on hundreds of computers running parallel with teams of quants modelling prices and programs trading algarithimic models; then Good luck!!
Trade stocks as modelling stocks is comparitively easy. Stocks have drift (mu). If you are saturated with stocks look into options and Fixed income. Leave all these complicated stuff to the pros. You have better chance of hitting a jackpot in a casino than making money in trading commodities.
Wow, smisachu summarized the issue in 2 paragraphs !! Great post smisachu.
As smisachu pointed out for futures, forwards or options trading you will be going against the pros. Hedging is also not a static process, it is dynamic which means you need scale(lots of money) to trade. Unless you have lot of money and big heart for loss, it does not make sense to play in those markets. If you really want to try, try playing with options using optionsExpress or some other cheap trading website.
Now fundamental investing is different. Instead of directly playing with commodities you can play commodity stocks which are proxy for the commodity. The issue here is there are a few big players and bunch of small players. Small plays are too risky as most of them have resources outside US. You might be able to play big ones or medium sized ones. Have a look at companies like COP, EAC etc. You might be interested in looking at Canadian oil sands and trust plays.
Let me warn you about the volatility. As covered by smisachu, the pros can manipulate the prices in futures. Futures seem to be affecting spot a lot. Oil prices or any commodity can be very volatilile. So if you can't take 10% swings in days/hours, don't even think about commodity stocks !!
Personally I am long bull of oil and will stay like this in forseable future. I have interesting stories on my boom and bust experiences but that is a good beer talk :).
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peer123
06-13 06:29 PM
I am getting married in Jan 2008. can i go ahead and apply now? How to include the wife? will that be a problem.
you mean your future wife... :)....
you mean your future wife... :)....
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gsc999
07-14 02:49 AM
It is good to see so many members sign up for tomorrow. I am expecting a huge turn out.
If you are still a maybe, you just might be missing out on being part of this unprecedented rally by legal immigrants in San Jose.
Volunteers: Please try to come to the venue at 10:30 a.m. for briefing on assignments.
Lets make this a success!
If you are still a maybe, you just might be missing out on being part of this unprecedented rally by legal immigrants in San Jose.
Volunteers: Please try to come to the venue at 10:30 a.m. for briefing on assignments.
Lets make this a success!
RandyK
11-05 10:28 PM
I did not catch the whole speech but he was talking on the Senate floor about abuse in the H1B system, at the end he did say that he is not against increasing the cap for H1B's but he wanted that done with provisions to make sure the abuse of the system is prevented. He also said that he is willing to work with other Senators to fix this broken H1 system before the year end.
Do we anything more about this?
It looked like that he was introducing and amendment to a bill.
Do we anything more about this?
It looked like that he was introducing and amendment to a bill.
nb_des
09-14 03:50 PM
Absolutely. Now with PERM and premium 140, if we can file 485, and then hit the snooze button for 10 years -- no problem for me. I know, not everyone will be lucky to board onto the PERM, but atleast it will be relief for most of us.
Indirectly illegal worker issue has hurt us. Now more than ever House has a resolve not to allow increase in Visa numbers.
We should really wake up to the reality and for this year or as a first step just get us to file 485. Believe me even getting this through will be difficult this year.
Indirectly illegal worker issue has hurt us. Now more than ever House has a resolve not to allow increase in Visa numbers.
We should really wake up to the reality and for this year or as a first step just get us to file 485. Believe me even getting this through will be difficult this year.
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